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Rubio Aided in Maduro's Ouster. Governing Venezuela Could Prove More Difficult.

The New York Times

Rubio Aided in Maduro's Ouster. Governing Venezuela Could Prove More Difficult.

Senator Marco Rubio, a key architect of the Trump administration's hardline stance on Venezuela, played a pivotal role in the diplomatic and political pressure campaign that contributed to the ouster of Nicolás Maduro. However, the complex task of stabilizing and governing the nation now presents a far more daunting challenge for the Florida Republican and his allies. For years, Rubio has been one of Washington’s most vocal critics of the socialist government, advocating for crippling sanctions and championing Juan Guaidó as the legitimate interim president. His efforts helped isolate Maduro internationally and galvanized opposition at home. The collapse of Maduro's regime, following weeks of intense pressure and a military revolt, marked a significant victory for Rubio's foreign policy agenda. Yet, the celebration in Miami’s exile community has been tempered by the grim reality on the ground in Caracas. Venezuela is left in ruins, with its economy shattered, infrastructure collapsing, and a humanitarian crisis of historic proportions. The opposition coalition, once united against a common enemy, is now fracturing as various factions vie for power and disagree on the path forward. Rubio now faces the difficult political calculus of balancing calls for a swift transition with the practical necessities of nation-building. He must navigate the expectations of the Venezuelan diaspora, who demand immediate justice and the reversal of socialist policies, against the urgent need to lift sanctions and provide aid to a suffering population. Furthermore, the security vacuum has raised fears of widespread violence and potential intervention by other regional powers. The challenge of managing Venezuela's massive oil reserves, decimated by years of mismanagement and lack of investment, adds another layer of complexity. International energy markets are watching closely, hoping for a rapid resumption of exports to lower global prices, but experts warn that rebuilding the industry could take years and require billions in foreign investment. Domestically, Rubio’s involvement in Venezuela carries significant political risk. While his tough stance appeals to his conservative base, any missteps in the post-Maduro era could be weaponized by political opponents ahead of future elections. If the transition results in chaos or fails to deliver quick economic improvements, critics will likely blame the architects of the regime change. The situation underscores the harsh lesson that toppling a dictator is often the easy part; building a functional, democratic state is the true test. As international donors prepare to meet in Madrid to discuss a rescue package, Rubio remains a central figure, urging caution but also promising continued US support. For now, his focus is on preventing the chaos from spiraling and ensuring that the freedom so many Venezuelans fought for does not descend into anarchy. The road ahead is fraught with peril, requiring a delicate balance of diplomacy, economic aid, and security assistance. The success or failure of this monumental effort will not only determine Venezuela's future but also shape Marco Rubio's legacy on the world stage. The initial euphoria of liberation has given way to the sobering work of reconstruction, a task that may prove far trickier than the campaign to oust Maduro ever was. The eyes of the world, and the hopes of millions of Venezuelans, remain fixed on what comes next.